Painful economic correction looms as mortgage lending collapses
July 1, 2008 on 2:01 pm | In News |The risks of a painful correction in the economy are increasing, judging by economic data showing new mortgage lending has collapsed, consumer confidence near all-time lows, and lower productivity that will put pressure on businesses to cut jobs.
Property Week, 01.07.08
The Bank of England said yesterday that mortgage approvals for house purchase slid from 58,000 in April to 42,000 in May, much lower than analysts had expected and 64% down on a year earlier. First-time buyers have almost completely disappeared and the mortgage market is at a standstill as Britain endures its worst housing slump since the 1970s, official data suggested yesterday.
The figures confirm the speed at which conditions in the housing market have deteriorated. Mortgage approvals are one of the best guides to the likely course of house prices, as they reflect new funding entering the market - full article
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In the 1970s there was no real rental market. To what extent are landlords likely to take up the slack from FTBs? In London there’s evidence that investors are taking advantage of more motivated vendors - whilst at the same time FTBs stay renting, pushing up yields.
With rising fuel and food prices plus increasing costs of borrowing it’s certain that those buying at the periphery of affordability are being squeezed. But they still have to live somewhere and rental yields in London are recovering as a consequence.
Barry
http://www.chard.co.uk
Comment by barry manners — 3/7/2008 #