BTL Disaster Zones: Property Investors Beware – Home.co.uk discloses the worst BTL property investment locations in the UK
New research from Home.co.uk reveals that investment in the wrong location can lead to low or even negative returns.
Investing in property can appear to be a very attractive option. Given the current economic backdrop, there are few investment sectors that offer both ‘safe haven’ status and inflation beating yields.
However, new research from the property website Home.co.uk shows that the old adage ‘location, location, location’ could not be more relevant when sinking capital into bricks and mortar. Looking beyond gross rental yields, their analysts have calculated real yield for the most popular rental locations across the UK.
The latest study from Home.co.uk assesses the impact of changing capital values to produce a more realistic view of rental yields and the real investment potential.
The analysis is based on typical 2 bedroom properties (median asking prices and rents) and combines changes in the capital values and gross rental yields.
The current top 10 areas attracting the highest real yields are all in London, but the study can now reveal that the worst locations are to be found throughout the UK. All of the worst performing areas attract negative real yields and will prove very interesting reading for potential buy-to-let investors.
Worst 10 Property Investment Locations – based on Real Rental Yields for 2-bed properties (February 2013)
|
Location |
% change in average sales price vs. Feb’12 |
Gross |
REAL YIELD1 |
|
Hanley |
-8.5% |
6.8% |
-1.7% |
|
Hastings |
-7.1% |
5.3% |
-1.8% |
|
Slough |
-9.2% |
6.5% |
-2.7% |
|
Stirling |
-9.6% |
6.3% |
-3.2% |
|
Guildford |
-9.1% |
5.8% |
-3.3% |
|
Broadstairs |
-9.3% |
4.9% |
-4.4% |
|
Ramsgate |
-10.0% |
5.3% |
-4.7% |
|
East Kilbride |
-12.5% |
7.4% |
-5.0% |
|
Belfast |
-14.1% |
6.6% |
-7.5% |
|
Margate |
-14.8% |
5.1% |
-9.8% |
Doug Shephard, director at Home.co.uk, commented;
“The average gross rental yield of these areas is currently running at a very healthy 6%, but landlords must consider the rise and fall of capital values when assessing a buy-to-let investment. This study shows that if investors in these worst affected areas are simply taking a short-sighted view, based on rental income, then they could be in for a nasty surprise.”
“Given our new research on yields, these are areas of the UK where landlords are losing money just by owning the property and that is even before tackling the potential issue of void periods.”
“Whilst there are many reports of a North-South divide in the property market, 6 of the 10 worst performing areas are located in the South of England, including the relatively affluent area of Guildford. Interestingly, the East Kent seaside towns of Ramsgate, Broadstairs and Margate all report dreadful real yields. In terms of rental income, these three areas can offer landlords gross yields of over 5% yet the underlying property values are falling through lack of demand. For example, in January 2007 the average 2-bed property spent just 56 days on the market in Ramsgate. Now in 2013, the average time on market has risen to 134 days.“
“It may be some time before property values stabilise in these locations and until they do BTL investment could seriously damage your wealth.”
Source: Home.co.uk Home Asking Price Index
1. ‘Real yield’ is defined as rent + capital appreciation of the underlying asset Typical (median) figures for two bedroom properties were used in the calculations. To ensure that the results are statistically significant, all locations had at least 100 properties currently for sale and for rent.
Home.co.uk
Over the last 17 years, Home.co.uk has become established as a dynamic, innovative and ethical service. By providing the UK’s most comprehensive Property Search Engine (which finds and tracks around 1,000,000 properties for sale and rent) and Estate Agents directory coupled with detailed House Price and Rental analysis, Home.co.uk delivers the real power of the Internet to inform and empower estate agents, homebuyers, renters, landlords and sellers in across the UK. To learn more about Home.co.uk please visit: http://www.home.co.uk/company/about.htm
Home.co.uk Asking Price Index
The Home.co.uk Asking Price Index was originally devised in association with Calnea Analytics: the statistical consultancy responsible for the production of the official Land Registry House Price Index.
The Home.co.uk Asking Price Index (HAPI) is calculated using a weighting system based on the DCLG (formerly ODPM) Survey of English Housing Stock (published March 2006). This allows for enhanced regional delineation and conforms to the current geographical orthodoxy as set out by the Office of National Statistics.
The HAPI is the UK’s only independent forward market indicator. The published figures reflect current and historic confidence of buyers and sellers of UK property on the open market. The HAPI is calculated every month using around 800,000 UK property house prices found in the Home.co.uk Property Search Index. This figure represents the majority of the property for sale on the open market in the UK at any given time.
The HAPI is based on asking price data which means the index can provide insights into price movements around 5 months ahead of mortgage completion and actual sales data – thus making it the most forward looking of all house price indices. Properties above £1m and below £20k are excluded from the calculations. For details on the methodology used in the calculation of the HAPI please visit:
http://www.home.co.uk/asking_price_index/Mix-Adj_Methodology.pdf






