12 January 2012
| Retail Price Index % | 5.2 (5.4) |
| Consumer Price Index % | 4.8 (5.0) |
| Bank Base Rate (BoE) % | 0.5 |
| Annual House Price % | -2.2 (-0.7) |
| Standard Mortgage Rate % | 4.11 (4.04) |
| Annual GDP % | +0.5 (+0.6) |
| 10-Year Bond Yld % | 2.06 (2.29) |
| Unemployment UK & Europe | |
| ARLA Buy to Let Survey | Q2 2011 |
| RICS Housing Survey | May 2011 |
| RICS Commercial | Q1 2011 |
| Best Mortgage Deals | June 2011 |
(*) Bracketed figure is the previous period value
With better that expected services sector figures in the UK in December and a surprise drop in the unemployment rate in the US, hopes were raised that a double dip recession can be avoided, but with uncertainty still hanging over the Eurozone that could all yet prove to be another false dawn in what has been a frustratingly slow (or simply "flat")recovery. The UK Purchasing and Supply Index rose to a 5 month high of 54 and the index for manufacturers was also higher at 49.6 (47.7) giving some further encouragement.
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January 2012 – Buy-to-let still thriving!
The continuing recession and the squeeze on mortgage lending are resulting in something of a bonanza for cash-rich landlord investors able to secure low interest mortgages with a good deposit. They can pick-up properties at bargain basement prices, whilst being virtually guaranteed a solid income stream, and with rentals in high demand landlords continue to be the main growth source of housing provision in the UK.
The Private Rented Sector (PRS) has grown steadily from a low point of 6 to7% of residential housing stock by value in the 90s to around 19% today, and is predicted by some pundits to be well over 20% by 2020.
Pilloried by some as contributing to the present housing market troubles, the facts are landlords have "come up with the housing goods" and have been emboldened by a secure income, and the prospect of long-term capital appreciation as a bonus, in a period when alternative cash investment yields are extremely low.
Contributing to the growth of the sector has been a large cohort of "accidental" or "reluctant" landlords, unable to sell their homes, some of whom have come to realise the benefits of being a landlord investor and going on to build up a buy-to-let portfolio.
The downside risk is that during a recession that guaranteed income can come to an abrupt end if tenants either can't or won't pay the rent. Good landlord self-management or using a good professional agent is crucial, and this is where many newbies fall down: anyone can let out a property but maintaining that crucial cash-flow and staying on the right side of the law takes experience and professionalism as a landlord or agent.
High demand, low supply and the inevitable rent increases are resulting in louder and louder cries from some quarters for government to control rents and increase security of tenure. There is a real danger here, according to industry experts, of going back to the Rent Act era troubles. These measures would inevitably drive many landlords out of the market, many would run their properties down by neglecting repairs as returns become uneconomic and the end result would be even more housing shortages.
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PropertyPortfolioSoftware.co.uk - Tax Manager